Just waiting now for the spitting and the spattering of mixed precipitation to start around 2 o’clock in the morning. Temperatures will bottom out around 29° during Wednesday’s snow event. Tomorrow, the Bay could have 2 to 12 inches of fresh snow when this system wraps up by sundown. The 20 mph sustained winds and gusts up to 45 mph are oddly coming from the east for the full duration of the storm and will continue from that same direction until Friday. I have OCD about monitoring the wind. Eastern winds for an extended period of hours, let alone days, rarely occur. What does it mean? Good question; it rarely occurs. Tomorrow’s report will reveal if there has been a significant change in ice conditions on Little Bay de Noc. This afternoon, in the beating sun, Lacy and I took the WILcraft out for an expedition on the Bay to gather some daily ice intel. The picture tonight indicates where some traffic flows to and from the Kipling Public Launch. Posing for a picture illustrating this traffic pattern are the WILCraft and Lacy in it, perched in the exact same spot that solid ice opened up during the last warm spell leading to five machines having plopped into open water. The commonality is that machines had been driving across that area for weeks before it opened up. With no trucks on the Bay previously, this round will have bigger consequences, with more mass and weight than a snowmobile or a quad. My forecasted machine or vehicular polar plunge is at 75%…? 75-80%.
Increasing your odds,
-Blade